{"id":1559,"date":"2026-10-09T15:29:43","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T18:29:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.onthenet.com.br\/?p=1559"},"modified":"2026-10-15T07:53:42","modified_gmt":"2026-10-15T10:53:42","slug":"vox-brasil-poll-october-9-2026-runoff","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.onthenet.com.br\/index.php\/en\/2026\/10\/09\/vox-brasil-poll-october-9-2026-runoff\/","title":{"rendered":"Vox Brasil poll: Lula at 44.2%, Fl\u00e1vio at 42.7% in statistical tie"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Vox Brasil poll<\/strong> released on Friday, October 9, 2026, shows a statistical tie between Lula (PT) and Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL) in Brazil\u2019s presidential runoff. Lula has 44.2% of voting intentions, while Fl\u00e1vio has 42.7%.<\/p>\n

The numerical gap is 1.5 percentage points. However, the institute reports a margin of error of 2.15 percentage points in either direction. Therefore, the survey does not establish a clear statistical lead.<\/p>\n

Vox Brasil poll: presidential runoff results<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Response<\/th>\nVoting intention<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Lula (PT)<\/td>\n44.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL)<\/td>\n42.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Blank, null or neither candidate<\/td>\n3.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Don\u2019t know or no response<\/td>\n9.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Important:<\/strong> these percentages cover all responses in the prompted scenario, including undecided voters and blank or null choices. They are not valid-vote percentages or official election results.<\/p>\n

How the survey was conducted<\/h2>\n