{"id":452,"date":"2026-09-15T14:26:54","date_gmt":"2026-09-15T17:26:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.onthenet.com.br\/index.php\/2026\/09\/15\/boletim-focus-mercado-projeta-ipca-e-pib-para-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-09-19T20:11:48","modified_gmt":"2026-09-19T23:11:48","slug":"boletim-focus-mercado-projeta-ipca-e-pib-para-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.onthenet.com.br\/index.php\/2026\/09\/15\/boletim-focus-mercado-projeta-ipca-e-pib-para-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Boletim Focus: mercado projeta IPCA e PIB para 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O Boletim Focus de 31 de agosto de 2026 mostrou uma leve redu\u00e7\u00e3o nas proje\u00e7\u00f5es do mercado para infla\u00e7\u00e3o e crescimento econ\u00f4mico. A pesquisa semanal do Banco Central re\u00fane estimativas de participantes do mercado financeiro. Portanto, seus n\u00fameros n\u00e3o s\u00e3o previs\u00f5es oficiais do pr\u00f3prio Banco Central.<\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Boletim Focus: infla\u00e7\u00e3o e PIB<\/h2>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A estimativa para o IPCA de 2026 passou de 5,02% para 5,01%. Para 2027, os analistas projetavam 4,28%. J\u00e1 as previs\u00f5es indicadas para 2028 e 2029 eram de 3,80% e 3,50%, respectivamente.<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A meta de infla\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 de 3%, com margem de toler\u00e2ncia de 1,5 ponto percentual para cada lado. Assim, o intervalo vai de 1,5% a 4,5%. Estar dentro dessa faixa n\u00e3o significa atingir o centro da meta.<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Al\u00e9m disso, n\u00e3o se deve confundir uma proje\u00e7\u00e3o para o ano inteiro com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o medida em 12 meses. S\u00e3o indicadores referentes a per\u00edodos diferentes.<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No PIB, a expectativa de crescimento para 2026 recuou de 1,95% para 1,92%. Enquanto isso, as proje\u00e7\u00f5es para os anos seguintes eram de 1,50% em 2027, 1,98% em 2028 e 2% em 2029.<\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">C\u00e2mbio e juros no levantamento de agosto<\/h2>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para o c\u00e2mbio, o mercado mantinha a previs\u00e3o de R$ 5,20 por d\u00f3lar no fim de 2026. Para 2027, a estimativa era de R$ 5,30.<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">J\u00e1 o mercado projetava a Selic em 13,75% no encerramento de 2026. As expectativas seguintes eram de 12% em 2027, 10,5% em 2028 e 10% em 2029. No entanto, essas proje\u00e7\u00f5es n\u00e3o s\u00e3o compromissos do Copom com decis\u00f5es futuras.<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os dados apresentados aqui retratam a edi\u00e7\u00e3o de 31 de agosto. Por isso, n\u00e3o devem ser lidos como o boletim mais recente de setembro. Novas informa\u00e7\u00f5es podem alterar as expectativas a cada divulga\u00e7\u00e3o semanal.<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fonte para os principais indicadores de 2026 e 2027: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/economia\/money\/macroeconomia\/boletim-focus-31-agosto-2026\/\">CNN Brasil, cobertura do Focus de 31 de agosto<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Corre\u00e7\u00e3o em 19 de setembro de 2026: esclarecida a diferen\u00e7a entre o centro da meta e o intervalo de toler\u00e2ncia. A revis\u00e3o tamb\u00e9m explicita a data das proje\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Boletim Focus indica leve queda nas proje\u00e7\u00f5es de infla\u00e7\u00e3o e crescimento do PIB para 2026, com Selic vista em 13,75% no fim do ano.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":430,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[68],"tags":[427,431,74,429],"class_list":["post-452","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia","tag-boletim-focus","tag-economia","tag-inflacao","tag-pib"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Boletim Focus: proje\u00e7\u00f5es de infla\u00e7\u00e3o, PIB e juros em 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Confira as proje\u00e7\u00f5es do Boletim Focus 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