Category: Economy
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Focus survey of August 31: Brazilâs inflation and GDP forecasts for 2026
The Focus survey released on August 31, 2026 showed slightly lower market forecasts for Brazilian inflation and economic growth. The Central Bank publishes this weekly survey of financial market participants. Its figures are therefore their estimates, rather than official Central…
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Selic rate cut to 13.75%: market forecast and Copom decision
Markets expected a Selic rate cut to 13.75% a year ahead of the Copom meeting on September 15â16, 2026. The forecast called for a reduction of 0.25 percentage points from the 14% rate then in force. September 19 update: Copom…
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Brazilian agribusiness exports hit record US$87 billion in first half of 2026
Brazilian agribusiness exports reached a record US$87 billion in the first half of 2026. Meat and soybeans helped drive the result, according to Agriculture Ministry figures released in July. Soybeans and meat lead the gains Soybeans remained the sectorâs leading…
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Brazilâs unemployment rate falls to 5.4% in second quarter of 2026
Brazilâs unemployment rate fell to 5.4% in the second quarter of 2026, according to IBGEâs Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNAD ContĂnua). That was down 0.7 percentage points from 6.1% in the first quarter. It was also 0.4 points below…
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Brazilâs trade surplus reaches US$58.674 billion; daily average rises 36.9%
Brazilâs trade surplus reached US$58.674 billion from January through the second week of September 2026. According to the trade ministry, MDIC, the increase was 36.9% on a daily-average basis. This method accounts for periods with different numbers of working days.…
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Brazil GDP Grows 0.5% to R$3.4 Trillion in Second Quarter of 2026
Brazil GDP grew 0.5% in the second quarter of 2026 compared with the previous three months, reaching R$3.4 trillion. Over the first half of the year, the economy expanded 1.9% from the same period in 2025. Agriculture leads Brazil GDP…
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Brazil Inflation Slows as Focus Survey Projects 1.17% for SeptemberâNovember 2026
Brazil inflation is expected to total 1.17% from September through November 2026, according to the Central Bankâs weekly Focus survey. The forecast points to a gradual easing in consumer price increases after months of stronger pressure. Brazil inflation forecasts for…
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Brazil Adds 921,600 Formal Jobs in First Half of 2026, Novo Caged Shows
Novo Caged reports 921,645 new formal jobs in Brazil in the first half of 2026, led by services and construction.
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Brazilian Agribusiness Exports $38 Billion in Q1 2026, a New Record
Brazilian agribusiness posted record exports of $38 billion in the first quarter of 2026. Moreover, the result represents a 0.9% increase compared to the same period in 2025. At the same time, the sector’s imports fell 3.3%, to $5 billion.…
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Industrial Production Rises 0.2% in July, Breaking Two Months of Decline
Brazilian industrial production grew 0.2% in July 2026 compared with June. The result broke a streak of two consecutive months of decline. The data come from the Monthly Industrial Survey â Physical Production (PIM-PF), from the Brazilian Institute of Geography…
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